With #Italy falling back into a #recession and the ‘economical
war’ that seems to be unfolding between Russia and the West, there may be some
very good trading opportunities on the #Euro currency pairs and the European
equity markets.
The Eurozone and the #US put sanctions on #Russia over its
position in the Ukraine crisis, some of the targets of the sanctions are:
·
Rosneft – Russia’s largest oil producer.
·
Kalashnikov – Russia’s largest arms manufacturer.
·
Novatek – Russia’s largest natural gas producer.
·
Gazprombank – Russia’s largest bank.
These are all important elements to Russia’s economy and so
Russia retaliated by imposing their own set of sanctions on the West which
included the ban on fruit, dairy, vegetables, fish and meat products.
Theses sanctions imposed by Russia could drive inflation
lower in the Eurozone, prompting fears of possible deflation. The sanctions
will hit European farmers hardest, as after the US, Russia is the next largest
importer of agricultural goods from Europe, with an estimated value of £9.44bn.
Russians may face an increase in food prices as there will be a decrease in
supply whereas Europe may experience a decrease in food prices (a welcomed
thought for the average consumer), Russia will have to find other sources
perhaps South America to make up for the shortage.
Both the West are playing hardball with both parties
refusing to back down and placing economic strain on each other, who will back
down first is anyone’s guess.
So what does this mean for us traders? Well we should be
looking at European markets keenly, with the Italian economy falling into
recession and these latest sanctions by Russia we might be hearing more bad
news from that region, and we may well be presented with good trading opportunities.
Look out for news reports concerning Germany they are one of the largest
economies in the EU and relied heavily on Russian oil and gas for their energy. So do your research and good luck.
@PiDeJonge
Labels: Dollar, Euro, FX, GBP, Inflation, Investing, Russia, trading